With the impending leaving of the EU with no deal, a study done earlier this year is looking more and more likely to come to fruition, as fruit and vegetables prices jump due to the reverting of ALL imported goods to World Trade Organisation tariffs cause anything up to 20% increased costs of food stuffs in supermarkets.
Such will be the negative effects upon the health of UK families as a result of decreased consumption of fruit and vegetables, that an increase in deaths from heart disease and strokes due to hikes in prices on imported fruit and vegetables.
A study published in the British Medical Journal (BMJ) concluded that the UK population would decrease its intake of fruit and vegetables following a forced hike in trade costs after the UK leaves the European Union, now scheduled to be 31st October.
This would lead to a greater chance of the population suffering with cardiovascular diseases.
Modelling the study on four different Brexit scenarios, scientists found that a no-deal scenario would be the deadliest as it could increase the number of deaths from cardiovascular disease by more than 12,000 over the next decade - equivalent to a 2% increase in deaths from such diseases.
The conclusion is a stark warning for the UK:
Our model suggests that a no-deal Brexit scenario would be the most harmful, generating approximately 12400 (6690 to 23 390) extra CVD deaths between 2021 and 2030, whereas establishing a free trading agreement with the EU would have a lower impact on mortality, contributing approximately 5740 (2860 to 11 910) extra CVD deaths.
Trade policy under all modelled Brexit scenarios could increase price and decrease intake of F&V, generating substantial additional CVD mortality in England. The UK government should consider the population health implications of Brexit trade policy options, including changes to food systems.
"Post-Brexit trade policy could increase price and decrease intake of fruit and vegetables, thus increasing [cardiovascular disease] mortality in England," said the study authors from Imperial College London, University of Liverpool and the Medical University of Gdansk.
"The UK government should therefore carefully consider the population health implications of Brexit during upcoming negotiations and post-Brexit planning, particularly adverse changes to food systems."
Further evidence of cardiac mortality was published by the American Society for Nutrition and presented in June 2019 to the American Society for Nutrition annual meeting, held in Baltimore:
"Preliminary findings from a new study reveal that inadequate fruit and vegetable consumption may account for millions of deaths from heart disease and strokes each year. The study estimated that roughly 1 in 7 cardiovascular deaths could be attributed to not eating enough fruit and 1 in 12 cardiovascular deaths could be attributed to not eating enough vegetables."
"Fruits and vegetables are a modifiable component of diet that can impact preventable deaths globally," said lead study author Victoria Miller, a postdoctoral researcher at the Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy at Tufts University. "Our findings indicate the need for population-based efforts to increase fruit and vegetable consumption throughout the world."
Source: EU News / BMJ / Science Daily